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An independent view of the world seen from Tokelau

The Independent New York Times

Tokelau, Saturday, October 18, 2008 Weekend Edition, editor Sumpinein - contact sumpinein@gmail.com

NOW YOU CAN SETTLE DOWN FOR THE RECESSION FOLKS

With stocks hovering below the 9000 points mark the world seems to have entered a recessionary period in spite of the brutal fall in oil prices. Not only in the USA, Europe and Japan are folks worried about their jobs and falling income, but for the first time it will effect the NICS (Newly Industrialized Countries) or BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India and China). Even the oil producers will be looking glum as demand for energy falls. The lesson is easy money does not exist, at some point in the game the music stops and the bills have to be paid by you and me!

In the meantime

A UN study says that in financial terms currently the loss of forest equals some US$2- US$5 trillion every year. Who is going to do something about all this? Indonesian authorities have pledged to stop the loss of forests and species in Sumatra, one of the world's most ecologically important islands. Representatives of the island's 10 provinces, national government and the environment group WWF launched the deal at the World Conservation Congress. Sumatra has lost about half of its forest cover in the last 20 years. It is home to a number of important and iconic species such as the tiger, orangutan, rhinoceros and elephant. The island has suffered floods and forest fires in recent years that have been widely attributed to illegal forest clearance. Two years ago, President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono was forced to apologise to Singapore and Malaysia when smog from burning Sumatran forest covered the neighbouring countries. The need to deal with these issues appears to have played a big part in persuading the authorities to act. "In the rainy months, we are seeing landslides and flooding more often, and it is time to make a real change," said Indonesia's deputy environment minister Hermien Roosita at a news briefing here. "Every governor from the 10 provinces and four (national) ministries have signed this monumental commitment to ecosystem restoration of the island and protecting the remaining natural forest." More than 13% of the island's forests lie on peat, which contain vast amounts of carbon that would be lost to the atmosphere if the trees were removed, accelerating climate change. "When you look at the flora and fauna in this area and the rate of loss that's going on, this is a substantial commitment to protect and restore forests," said Gordon Shepherd, WWF's director of global policy. The government has already regulated to stop clearance of virgin forest for palm oil plantations - grown for food, industry and biofuels - but the government acknowledges the ban may not be completely effective . Good planning As well as protecting and restoring forest, the authorities have pledged to make development on Sumatra obey principles of "ecosystem-based planning", where any projects detrimental to the island's ecological health would be banned. However, the vice-governor of the province of West Sumatra, Marlis Rahman, said help from the west would be needed to help meet the commitments.

RUSSIA, IRAN AND VENEZUELA TAKE HIT

Buoyed by petrodollars, Russia, Iran and Venezuela hectored the West as they extended their reach abroad, backing separatists in Georgia, Islamists in the Middle East and Leftists around the world. Now those oil-producing powers may be forced to draw in their horns as crude prices tumble. They face austerity budgets that could force them to scale back their military spending and foreign assistance even as falling oil prices fuel domestic dissent. “All countries heavily dependent on petroleum revenue are nervously watching oil prices as they drop not just far, but quickly,” said Jonathan Elkind, a senior Fellow at the Brookings Institution in Washington. “That price adjustment is raising questions in all these capitals about the suitability of the economic model that has been making them feel so full of themselves in the recent period.

HOMELESS JUMPS

With a massive spike in the number of foreclosures and evictions over the past two years, communities throughout the U.S. have witnessed the sprouting of tent cities -- many of them home to once middle-class citizens fallen victim to the economic downturn.
Encampments have formed in or near large urban areas including Reno, Los Angeles, Chattanooga, Columbus, St. Petersburg, Seattle and Portland.
Starting about four years ago, there has been an outbreak of tent cities popping up across the country. Today, we observe a slow but steady increase in homeless people," said Michael Stoops, acting executive director of the National Coalition for the Homeless .
According to a report by NCFTH, almost 61 percent of local and state homeless coalitions say that they have seen a growth in homelessness since the foreclosure crisis -- now at 10,000 homes per week -- began in 2007.
The phenomenon is similar to the social upheavals of the Great Depression of the 1930s -- an era frequently referenced these days -- when "Hooverville" ad-hoc shanty towns, some as big as 15,000 people, were erected around the country, named after the president at the time, Herbert Hoover.

READ DEATH OF A FINANCIER

Tom Barton, a City mortgage broker, decides to quit his business in the wake of the subprime crisis and arrives in Kovalam, in the south of India. In the Maharaja Palace he finds himself in the company of holiday makers from the UK, Scandinavia and Russia. Stephen Parkly, the CEO of a successful City bank, and his young wife Emma are taking a well earned year end break. Parkly falls gravely ill with a mysterious infection, whilst back in the City, unknown to him his mortgage and investment bank, West Mercian Finance is in grave difficulties. Ryan Kavanagh, a doctor, comes to Emma’s aid with the help of Barton, after an attempted cover-up by the Indian authorities, who fear for their tourist industry and more especially medical tourism, as the disease threatens the resort with the tourist season in full swing. Thousands of British tourists enjoying the sun are unaware of the pending disaster, many are equally unaware their savings about are to be wiped out in the West Mercian collapse.

BOND IS BACK

Bond's new adventure in Quantum of Solace has edgy close-ups of Daniel Craig's granite features give way to a spectacular high-speed chase around an Italian coastal road. Bullets fly, glass splinters, cars crunch, in a scene that - like many of the film's best - owes much to the quick-fire editing of the Bourne thrillers. By the time the opening credits come along, playing out to Jack White and Alicia Keys's punchy title song, you realise you've barely breathed for five minutes. Thereafter, Craig's second outing as the famous so-called "spy" - actually, when you think about it, an assassin - turns out to be a tale of revenge. And not for the first time in the franchise: Timothy Dalton spent the whole of 1989's Licence to Kill in pursuit of the man who murdered the wife of his CIA chum Felix Leiter. In this much darker film, picking up from where Casino Royale left off, 007 finds himself after two people: the man who fatally betrayed Vesper Lynd, the woman he loved; and Dominic Greene (bullfrog-eyed Mathieu Amalric), a big player in the sinister organisation that blackmailed her, now striking a shady deal in some Bolivian desert.

QUEEN LIZ VISITS GOOGLE

 

WHO'S GOING DOWN THE TUBE

THE CREDIT CRUNCH SONG

 LAID OFF TRADERS QUIT BANK

'Lord' Mandelson, the billionaire and a growing mystery

Peter Mandelson faced new questions today over his relationship with Russian billionaire Oleg Deripaska. The newly-appointed Business Secretary is at the centre of a row over a potential conflict of interest, the Evening Standard can reveal, after two European companies sought his help following allegations that Deripaska's company cheated them over a $1 billion deal in Moscow. Mandelson, then European Trade Commissioner, took up their case. To their surprise, the two companies then learned that Mandelson was enjoying lavish hospitality aboard the Queen K, the yacht owned by Deripaska, the man they blamed for defrauding them. The revelation comes at an awkward time for Mandelson. The Business Secretary, now Lord Mandelson after his ennoblement yesterday, was parachuted into the Government by Gordon Brown at a time of grave crisis. Mandelson had already resigned from the Cabinet twice and this new disclosure yet again raises questions about his judgment. Why, it was asked, did he not declare a personal interest when his role as commissioner clashed with a friendship?