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The Independent New York Times

Tokelau, Saturday, July 05, 2008 Weekend Edition, editor Sumpinein - contact sumpinein@gmail.com

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Salman Rushdie twenty years after 'India' the question is has India changed. It is worth lokking at his book again and comparing it with the same country today. Yes - things have changed for some, but the vast majority are still living in the conditions described by the writer in the late eighties. How will India face up to climate change, energy costs and fuel prices?
Samual Beckett portrait
by John Minihan, "the man who shot Beckett", so-called because of his uniquely personal, black-and-white portraits of the Irish playwright. Of the 20 works in this quiet side-show, part of the Celtic Heart Festival, the three of Beckett are magnetic character studies among more informal portraits of Irish writers. During Beckett's Waiting for Godot rehearsals at Riverside Studios in 1984, Minihan followed him into rehearsals - a tall, slender, aquiline figure, hands behind his back and one long thumb upturned - and produced close-up head shots revealing the elegant beauty and character in his extraordinary face; he even drew a slightly bemused smile. The unmistakable crest of badger hair frames small eyes as alert as a suspicious small mammal's, tuned to the mysteries of human existence. After rehearsals, Minihan stopped him outside, wrapped in a cool suede coat, satchel over one shoulder, and the writer projects a resigned smile onto a photographer almost as intense as his subject. A year later, Minihan's self-portrait on a Paris street while Waiting For Beckett, reveals the anxiety of hoping for the perfect shot. Like his portraits of Beckett, the image fits his credo: "Good photography is good literature."
Gore Vidal's novel published in 1948 was one of the first to speak openly of homosexulaity in the USA. Sixty years later this highly recommendable novel is still a good read even the the theme no longer shocks most Western minds.
'Death in Kovalam' by John Francis Kinsella   Tom Barton, a City mortgage broker, arrives in Kovalam, India, after abandoning his business in the wake of the subprime crisis. In his luxury hotel he meets Emma, the wife of Stephen Parkly, the CEO of a London bank, West Mercian Finance. Stephen Parkly falls gravely ill with a mysterious infection and is hospitalized in a local clinic.
The disease is diagnosed as cholera, panic sets in when tourists start to fall ill with the deadly infection, just as the tourist season is getting into full swing.
WALL STREET IN BEAR MARKET
There have been tremendous economic dislocations during the present bank crisis. Initially written off as a sub-prime crisis, leading policy makers said the crisis was contained. It has since spilled over into Jumbo mortgage rates, Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDOs), all asset backed securities, High Yield bonds, SIVs, the inter-bank market, commercial paper, money market funds, the auction rate market hedge fund losses, and a massive housing bust and the real economy. Banks and financial institutions from around the world are writing down billions of dollars of losses. Housing markets are falling in the US, the UK, Spain and Ireland. This crisis is truly global.
Barclays Capital said in its closely-watched Global Outlook that US headline inflation would hit 5.5pc by August and the Fed will have to raise interest rates six times by the end of next year to prevent a wage-spiral. If it hesitates, the bond markets will take matters into their own hands. "This is the first test for central banks in 30 years and they have fluffed it. They have zero credibility, and the Fed is negative if that's possible. It has lost all credibility," said Mr Bond.
EURO2008

Spain victorious over Germany in EURO2008

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Murray crushed by powerful Nadal. British hopes evaporated when their hope was quickly seen out in three straight sets by Raphael Nadal  in the quarter finals of Wimbledon 6-3 6-2 6-4. Federer will play against Safin in the quarter final and Nadal against.....
KING ARTHUR & LEGEND
Even if a character who vaguely resembled the fabled leader did exist, he would probably have been a Welshman with strong connections to Brittany and whose sworn enemies were the Anglo-Saxons. The organisers of a conference and exhibition to be held at Rennes university in northern France next month said they will provide ample evidence that the Arthurian legend has continually been updated, often as a sop to English nationalists attempting to revive the Age of Chivalry. Typical was the Victorian Poet Laureate Alfred Lord Tennyson, who at the height of the British Empire portrayed Arthur as a thoroughly decent Englishman whose manly virtues and trusty sword, Excalibur, were directed towards establishing heaven on earth. Sarah Toulouse, curator of the Rennes exhibition, said: "King Arthur is a mythical character who was invented at a certain point in history for essentially political reasons. "If he had really existed there would be more concrete historical traces of him.The earliest fragments of the tales can be traced back to Wales in the seventh century. But by the 13th century stories based on the Arthurian legends were being told right across Europe. The tale of a knight repelling the hated Anglo-Saxons from Britain's West Country in around AD500 has always been popular in northern France, with Arthur and his Knights of the Round Table particularly popular with the Bretons. Sir Lancelot, the best known of Arthur's Knights of the Round Table, was said to have been raised in the mysterious Broceliande forest in the heart of Brittany by Viviane, the Lady of the Lake who kidnapped him as a young child. Arthur's diabolical half sister, the sorceress Morgan Le Fay, also had a secret hideaway on the Brittany coast. Some texts even suggest that the mystical Island of Avalon, said to be Arthur's final resting place, is in fact the Isle of Aval in northern Brittany. Referring to the most popular myth, Mrs Toulouse said: "Arthur was an English King who united all of the Britons - in the British Isles and in Brittany - against the Saxons." Arthur's Camelot is said by many to be Cadbury castle, an Iron Age hill fort in Somerset. Stonehenge is said by some to have been built by Merlin, Arthur's court magician.A striking feature of the exhibition is just how quickly the tales of Arthur and his knights spread across Europe to places as far apart as Iceland and Italy, or Spain and Scandinavia.The oldest known images of the king can be found not in Britain but at the Cathedral of Modena in Italy in a bas-relief dating from around 1120.
 
Iran rockets target Israeli nuclear facilities reports The Times
U.S. officials say Israel carried out a large military exercise this month that appeared to be a rehearsal for a potential bombing attack on Iran's nuclear facilities, The New York Times reported on Friday. Citing unidentified American officials, the newspaper said more than 100 Israeli F-16 and F-15 fighters took part in the manoeuvres over the eastern Mediterranean and Greece in the first week of June. It said the exercise appeared to be an effort to focus on long-range strikes and illustrates the seriousness with which Israel views Iran's nuclear program. 
Iran has moved ballistic missiles into launch positions, with Israel’s Dimona nuclear plant among the possible targets, defence sources said last week. The movement of Shahab-3B missiles, which have an estimated range of more than 1,250 miles, followed a large-scale exercise earlier this month in which the Israeli air force flew en masse over the Mediterranean in an apparent rehearsal for a threatened attack on Iran’s nuclear installations. Israel believes Iran’s nuclear programme is aimed at acquiring nuclear weapons. The sources said Iran was preparing to retaliate for any onslaught by firing missiles at Dimona, where Israel’s own nuclear weapons are believed to be made. Major-General Mohammad Jafari, the commander of the Revolutionary Guard, told a Tehran daily: “This country [Israel] is completely within the range of the Islamic Republic’s missiles. Our missile power and capability are such that the Zionist regime – despite all its abilities – cannot confront it.” The Bush administration has launched a "significant escalation" of covert operations in Iran, sending U.S. commandos to spy on the country's nuclear facilities and undermine the Islamic republic's government, journalist Seymour Hersh said Sunday. White House, CIA and State Department officials declined comment on Hersh's report, which appears in this week's issue of The New Yorker. Hersh told CNN's "Late Edition with Wolf Blitzer" that Congress has authorized up to $400 million to fund the secret campaign, which involves U.S. special operations troops and Iranian dissidents. President Bush and Vice President Dick Cheney have rejected findings from U.S. intelligence agencies that Iran has halted a clandestine effort to build a nuclear bomb and "do not want to leave Iran in place with a nuclear program," Hersh said. "They believe that their mission is to make sure that before they get out of office next year, either Iran is attacked or it stops its weapons program," Hersh said. Iran's parliament speaker, Ali Larijani, warned other countries against moves that would "cost them heavily." In comments that appeared in the semi-official Mehr news agency Sunday, an Iranian general said his troops were digging more than 320,000 graves to bury troops from any invading force with "the respect they deserve."

UK house prices fall for ninth straight month http://www.capitaleconomics.com Capital Economics, forecasts a 35 per cent decline in house prices by the end of 2010, with a mortgage drought that means that just 750,000 transactions will be completed in 2008 - down almost 40 per cent on last year, and the weakest figure on record.

Home owners are taking a record length of time to sell their houses, according to the latest gloomy house price survey. The Land Registry says that in the year to March the number of homes sold at between £1m and £1.5m fell by 23 per cent. For homes priced from £1.5m to £2m, the drop was 28 per cent. The average length of time for a home seller to receive an offer is now 10.3 weeks, up from 6 weeks this time last year, according to Hometrack, the leading property research firm. According to Hometrack the number of new buyer registrations – the number of people registering with an estate agent –has fallen by 52 per cent since the start of the credit crisis. Housebuilders, the most forced of all forced sellers, are set to resort to drastic action to stay afloat in the wake of the lowest house sales figures seen since the 1970s.

WALL STREET GLOOM SETTLES IN
OIL $145
Spot the bubble - Shanghai Composite Index 2004-2008 by Bloomberg 27 June. The main Chinese index is looking grim as it continues its long plunge as the Olympics approach. It's normal, after all who buys Chinese goods - the USA stupid!
The Dow Jones dived a further 350 points Thursday, giving America’s key economic benchmark its worst June performance since the Great Depression, as oil hit a record and analysts said that the fallout from the credit crunch was far from over. With crude hitting a new intraday high at $142.99 a barrel, the market grew increasingly worried about the impact of surging commodities prices on consumers.
Britain's biggest mortgage lender disclosed yesterday that it has almost £5 billion of problem home loans on its books as it gave a downbeat forecast for this year's housing market. HBOS predicted a 9 per cent fall in property prices this year, up from its previous predictions of a “mid-single digit” decline, and wrote down £100 million on its own investments in the troubled housebuilding sector. The price of a crude oil in New York barreled to a record of $139.64 as Libya threatened to cut its output and Chakib Khelil, the Opec president, said that oil could hit $170 a barrel over the summer if, as expected, the European Central Bank increases interest rates, in a move that would further depress the dollar.

ELECTION FARCE

Mandela rocks whilst Mugabe kills
Twenty years after massed superstars gathered at Wembley to demand his release from Robben Island jail, Mandela has made an extraordinary transition from anti-apartheid figurehead into a sort of quasi-Christ, in the meantime Mugabe continues with his election farce as one of the most dangerous dictators in Africa since Idi Amin the military dictator and the President of Uganda from 1971 to 1979 who took power in a military coup in January 1971. His rule was characterized by human rights abuses, political repression, ethnic persecution, extra-judicial killings and the expulsion of Asians from Uganda. The number of people killed as a result of his regime is unknown; estimates from human rights groups range from 100,000 to 500,000.
The Bradford & Bingley plunges into a Northern Rock crisis as shares fall once again.
On a latrine wall in a US base in Iraq http://www.warshooter.com

The largest consumers of oil are, for now at least, the world's advanced economies.This year developed economies, or those members of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, are expected to consumer 56pc of the roughly 87m barrels per day (bpd) used each day, leaving the rest of the world to use the rest. In 2008, the US alone is expected to consume a little over 20m bpd, followed by China with 7.9m bpd and Japan at 5m bpd. The European member countries of the OECD consume 15.3m bpd of oil-related products.  

and FOG OVER BEIJING
Meanwhile as Congress prepares for the vacations in the USA...it is estimated that more than 8,000 homes go into foreclosure every day with more than three million borrowers in distress.
2008 is the 100th anniversary of the birth of Herbert von Karajan Peace talks make  progress between Israel and the Palestinian Hamas.